The situation is HK is just another episode of the ‘colour revolution’ that has been going around the world. Many of the people in HK have good business acumen and are shrewd in nature, but they are politically naïve. There is behind the scene manipulation in the name of democracy to create dissatisfaction among the young people that culminates in demonstration or massive civil disobedience against authorities. I’m sure the usual operatives with links to the NED / CIA/ British intelligence are involved in financing and organising the mobs in cohort with the usual anti-PRC activists. Already, I have read reports of students leaders being rewarded with US scholarships for their ‘contributions’.
It is a fact that HK was a British crown colony and the policies were dictated by the British from London. HK was returned to China in 1997, under a Basic Law of HK that underpins the one country two system where HK people are given more say in the selection of the Chief Executive Officer and allowed to maintain a separate system for 50 years. Despite these, some Hongkongers believe they have more freedom under the British! It is not really surprising given the overwhelming anti-PRC media coverage in HK. People will believe in lies when these are repeated incessantly.
Earlier this year China released a white paper on HK universal suffrage which makes it clear that the nominations for the Chief Executive has to be approved by Beijing. The ‘pro-democracy’ crowd cried foul, and demanded open nomination’ which basically means no selection of candidates in the nomination process. But the Basic Law requires the nomination process to be guided by a nomination committee and clearly an open nomination is not in accordance with the Basic Law. No doubt that there will be others who will twist the meaning of the Basic Law to suit their own understandings in this regard.
There are others who claim that the current government policies do not represent their interests but that of Beijing and big businesses only. As a results property prices have gone up way beyond the means of most ordinary people, while salaries stagnated. They longed for the days of British rules. This is a hopelessly facetious argument. Under colonial rules, major policies and decisions were decided in London, where the interest of Britain is foremost. The fact that HK prospered under the laissez-fairre policies was mainly dues to the fact that HK acted as conduit to China, and later benefited tremendously from the opening reform policies started by Deng Xiaoping. Property prices have gone up everywhere and is beyond the range of many salaried workers, whether one is in Sydney, London, Singapore, KL etc. – it’s a world wide phenomena. However, from a Hongkongers perspective, it seems worse because many mainlanders whom they have looked down previously are getting richers than them and could afford expensive apartments that a typical Hongkongers can only dream about.
Beijing will just wait patiently for events to unfold. Time is on its side. Nowadays HK has little affect on China economic well-being as less than 1% of goods are imported from HK. Most Hongkongers will get tired of the antics of these so-called ‘pro-democracy’ or OC demonstrators, and will curse them when (i) their businesses and incomes are adversely affected due to closure and interruptions in transport networks (ii) the value of HK stocks start to drop drastically (iii) tourists staying away (iv) parents become truly concern about their children education (v) divisions and infighting among the pro-democracy’ or OC mob. I’ll say give them another 3 weeks and see how tenacious are this bunch of desperado and clowns when their supporters stay away and most Hongkongers will then abuse them for breaking their rice bowls.
In the longer term, Beijing and HK local government need to:
- introduce patriotism and inculcate the young against looking at the West (and Western ideology ) through rose-tinted lens.
- an overwhelming of media must be locally owned, and those who do not have interest of China should be stripped of ownership of the media. Irresponsible reports need to be curtailed. People do not need to read prejudiced, speculative, false and baseless rumours under the pretence of free and open press.
- monitor and restrict activities and links by Western NGOs, local activists and the churches. Laws to be enacted to restrict foreign involvement with political and socials activists.
But there is no HK politician that is able to implement above measures. Hence HK is unlikely to become a model of harmony and prosperity for China. Instead it becomes a model of what China should not become. I do hope that the majority of the people in HK are wise enough not to exacerbate the situation of which they will only end up as losers. Whatever it is, the days of HK as a great financial and service centre for China is over. This incidence would have strengthen the resolves of the leadership in Beijing to use Shanghai as the gateway to China. China still want HK to be prosperous, but it will just be another great Chinese cities that want to be prosperous.